Thursday, August 22, 2019

World stocks rise with focus on stimulus; US yield curve briefly inverts


NEW YORK -- A global equities gauge rose on Wednesday for a third day in four as bets on more economic stimulus overcame, for now, worries over the rising prospect of a global recession.

The brief inversion of the curve between 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields loomed, however, as it is seen as a harbinger for an economic contraction. The curve has at some point inverted in four of the past six sessions.

Strong earnings in the United States and the report of talks on a mega-merger in European autos triggered gains in stocks, and the improved risk sentiment drove safe-haven yields higher while the yen and gold edged lower.

There was muted reaction across markets to minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting late last month. Policymakers debated lowering interest rates more aggressively than the quarter-point cut last month, while showing broad concern over a global economic slowdown and trade tensions.

The trade war escalated further after that Fed meeting, and investors were cautious about the current validity of policymakers' comments.

"It's really old news. This is from the July meeting and what (Fed Chairman Jerome) Powell has to say on Friday is going to be much, much more important than these minutes," said Mary Ann Hurley, vice president in fixed-income trading at D.A. Davidson in Seattle.

Traders expect that the Fed's annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming, symposium and a Group of 7 summit this weekend will shed light on the next steps policymakers will take to support economic growth.

Auto shares led European stocks higher after Italian media suggested the merger talks between Fiat Chrysler and Renault have continued despite reports to the contrary.

In US equities, earnings from Target and Lowe's boosted consumer stocks and overall market sentiment.

"As long as we have the healthy environment in jobs that we have right now, it's going to be very difficult to shake people's confidence," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago. "At the end of the day, if people are employed, they're going to go out and spend some money."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 240.29 points, or 0.93 percent, to 26,202.73, the S&P 500 gained 23.92 points, or 0.82 percent, to 2,924.43 and the Nasdaq Composite added 71.65 points, or 0.90 percent, to 8,020.21.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 1.21 percent and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.70 percent.

Emerging market stocks rose 0.31 percent. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.16 percent lower, while Japan's Nikkei lost 0.28 percent.

YIELDS RISE, YEN FALLS

Futures markets have fully priced a 25-basis-point cut in next month's Fed meeting. On Wednesday, US Treasury yields rose as rising stock prices reflected improving risk sentiment.

Benchmark 10-year notes last fell 9/32 in price to yield 1.5893 percent, from 1.559 percent late on Tuesday.

Germany sold 30-year bonds with a negative yield for the first time at an auction on Wednesday, a milestone for a fixed-income market where the entire curve now yields less than zero. The very weak demand seen at the auction was expected.

West Texas crude futures fell after US government data showed a drawdown in domestic crude stockpiles but rises in refined product inventories, while worries about a possible global recession capped gains in Brent.

US crude fell 0.32 percent to $55.95 per barrel and Brent was last at $60.40, up 0.62 percent on the day.

In currencies, the dollar rose against the Swiss and Japanese safe-haven currencies and the dollar index rose 0.12 percent, with the euro down 0.14 percent at $1.1083. Sterling was last trading at $1.2123, down 0.37 percent on the day.

The Japanese yen weakened 0.37 percent versus the greenback to 106.63 per dollar.

Spot gold dropped 0.3% to $1,502.15 an ounce.

source: news.abs-cbn.com