Showing posts with label PineBridge Investments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PineBridge Investments. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Asia shares retreat from 2-month high on China concerns


TOKYO - Asian shares stepped back further from two-month highs on Wednesday as a retreat in oil prices and weak Chinese trade data revived concerns about the health of the global economy.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.2 percent in early trade, shedding 1.4 percent from its two-month high hit on Monday. Japan's Nikkei fell 1.0 percent in morning trade.

"Although oil prices have risen sharply from the trough, many investors are not yet convinced if things have improved that much and I suspect they judged now is a good time to sell," said Tatsushi Maeno, managing director of PineBridge Investments.

"But I do believe that this year the global economy will prove better than last year," he added.

U.S. stocks also ended near the day's lows on Tuesday as energy shares tumbled, losing steam after hitting a two-month high on Friday.

S&P 500 Index lost 1.12 percent to 1,979.26 while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 1.26 percent to 4,648.83.

The reversal came as oil prices fell about 3 percent on Tuesday, ending six days of gains for benchmark Brent crude futures, following industry data showing U.S. stockpiles reached record highs again last week.

Brent LCOc1 settled down 2.9 percent at $39.65 a barrel after hitting a 2016 high of $41.48 earlier on Tuesday. Despite the day's decline, it was up 46 percent from a 12-year low of $27.10 struck on Jan. 20.

Also casting a shadow on markets, China's February trade performance was far worse than economists had expected, with exports tumbling the most in over six years.

Exports dived 25.4 percent from a year earlier on depressed demand in all of China's major markets, while imports slumped 13.8 percent, the 16th straight month of decline.

The data did not bode well for many companies that have relied on strong growth in the world's second largest economy, with the energy and material sector at the top of the list.

Against this grim backdrop, assets that are perceived to be safe fared batter.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield fell back to 1.827 percent, erasing its gains made after Friday's payrolls data.

That in turn dented the dollar's attraction against other major currencies.

The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies stood at 97.245, having slipped to a two-week low of 96.887 on Tuesday.

The yen rose to one-week high of 112.42 to the dollar on Tuesday and last stood at 112.68, a gain of 1 percent so far this week.

The euro rose to $1.1058 on Tuesday, its highest in more than a week. It has since eased to around $1.1001, little changed on the week, ahead of the European central Bank's policy meeting on Thursday.

Financial markets expect the ECB to cut its deposit rate by at least 10 basis points and expand its asset-buying program. However, with so much already priced in, some traders are primed for a repeat of the sharp gains in the euro seen in December when the ECB's measures fell short of market expectations.

Ahead of the ECB, the Bank of Canada will announce its policy decision later in the day.

The Canadian dollar has rallied almost 10 percent from its 12-1/2-year low since the central bank surprised markets by not cutting rates at its last meeting on Jan 20.

The Canadian dollar traded at C$1.3430 per U.S. dollar, off its three-month high of C$1.3263 hit on Monday.

source: www.abs-cbnnews.com

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Asian shares, oil skid as global growth concerns dominate


TOKYO - Asian shares retreated and oil prices resumed their descent on Tuesday as investors took profits on rebounds over the last two days as fears of a global economic slowdown showed no sign of abating.

Japan's Nikkei fell 1.8 percent by midday while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1.5 percent. Both fell more than 2 percent at one point.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.9 percent after two days of gains since late last week.

"Wherever you look - China, oil and the U.S., there is no clear evidence of improvement in economic fundamentals. So in the near term, it is hard to expect risk asset prices to gain further after a spate of short-covering," said Tatsushi Maeno, managing director at PineBridge Investments.

Crude oil prices have failed to extend their rebound that had started last week, falling around 7 percent so far this week. News that Iraq's output reached a record last month deepened concerns of oversupply.

Oil prices have fallen more than 75 percent from their 2012 peaks as global output was boosted by U.S. shale oil production and demand growth turned tepid, partially caused by the Chinese economy's slowing growth. The massive price fall is putting huge pressure on profitability of energy firms worldwide, which are in turn slashing investment and cutting jobs.

The U.S. S&P fell 1.6 percent to 1,877.08, led by a 4.5 percent drop in the energy sector.

Brent crude futures LCOc1, the global benchmark, dropped to $30 a barrel, falling 1.3 percent in Tuesday Asian trade, or 6.5 percent so far this week.

U.S. crude futures fell even more to $29.83 per barrel CLc1, down 7.4 percent from late last week.

Countering selling pressure for now are vague hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve may tone done its bias towards further policy tightening and that the Bank of Japan may expand its stimulus. Both will hold policy reviews this week.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's policy statement is due on Wednesday followed by the Bank of Japan's announcement on Friday.

Fed officials have so far stuck to the line that the bank would be ready to raise interest rates four times this year despite market volatility as the U.S. economic expansion continues.

Investors have difficulty believing such a policy tightening is possible under the current unstable economic and market conditions, with federal fund rate futures pricing in just over one rate hike this year.

Some investors hope a more dovish tone out of the Fed would help to soothe market sentiment, given that the perception gap between markets and policymakers has been a major source of anxiety.

Speculation that the Bank of Japan could step up its stimulus this week is also rising, although many market players still think the BOJ will hold fire for now.

The rebound in oil and risk assets late last week was indeed spurred by comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi indicating another stimulus in March.

"The fall in markets is stemming from worries about China, oil and so on. And now people think policy makers will try to stop that with monetary easing," said Koichi Yoshikawa, executive director of finance at Standard Chartered Bank.

"The problem is that monetary easing has succeeded in supporting financial market but not necessarily the real economy," he added.

In the currencies, resurgent risk aversion helped to lift the yen to 118.18 to the dollar from its two-week low of 118.88 hit on Friday.

The euro also gained against the dollar to $1.0845, 0.5 percent above late last week and having recovered about half the losses seen on Thursday when European Central Bank President TOKYO - Asian shares retreated and oil prices resumed their descent on Tuesday as investors took profits on rebounds over the last two days as fears of a global economic slowdown showed no sign of abating.

Japan's Nikkei fell 1.8 percent by midday while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1.5 percent. Both fell more than 2 percent at one point.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.9 percent after two days of gains since late last week.

"Wherever you look - China, oil and the U.S., there is no clear evidence of improvement in economic fundamentals. So in the near term, it is hard to expect risk asset prices to gain further after a spate of short-covering," said Tatsushi Maeno, managing director at PineBridge Investments.

Crude oil prices have failed to extend their rebound that had started last week, falling around 7 percent so far this week. News that Iraq's output reached a record last month deepened concerns of oversupply.

Oil prices have fallen more than 75 percent from their 2012 peaks as global output was boosted by U.S. shale oil production and demand growth turned tepid, partially caused by the Chinese economy's slowing growth. The massive price fall is putting huge pressure on profitability of energy firms worldwide, which are in turn slashing investment and cutting jobs.

The U.S. S&P fell 1.6 percent to 1,877.08, led by a 4.5 percent drop in the energy sector.

Brent crude futures LCOc1, the global benchmark, dropped to $30 a barrel, falling 1.3 percent in Tuesday Asian trade, or 6.5 percent so far this week.

U.S. crude futures fell even more to $29.83 per barrel CLc1, down 7.4 percent from late last week.

Countering selling pressure for now are vague hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve may tone done its bias towards further policy tightening and that the Bank of Japan may expand its stimulus. Both will hold policy reviews this week.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's policy statement is due on Wednesday followed by the Bank of Japan's announcement on Friday.

Fed officials have so far stuck to the line that the bank would be ready to raise interest rates four times this year despite market volatility as the U.S. economic expansion continues.

Investors have difficulty believing such a policy tightening is possible under the current unstable economic and market conditions, with federal fund rate futures pricing in just over one rate hike this year.

Some investors hope a more dovish tone out of the Fed would help to soothe market sentiment, given that the perception gap between markets and policymakers has been a major source of anxiety.

Speculation that the Bank of Japan could step up its stimulus this week is also rising, although many market players still think the BOJ will hold fire for now.

The rebound in oil and risk assets late last week was indeed spurred by comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi indicating another stimulus in March.

"The fall in markets is stemming from worries about China, oil and so on. And now people think policy makers will try to stop that with monetary easing," said Koichi Yoshikawa, executive director of finance at Standard Chartered Bank.

"The problem is that monetary easing has succeeded in supporting financial market but not necessarily the real economy," he added.

In the currencies, resurgent risk aversion helped to lift the yen to 118.18 to the dollar from its two-week low of 118.88 hit on Friday.

The euro also gained against the dollar to $1.0845, 0.5 percent above late last week and having recovered about half the losses seen on Thursday when European Central Bank President Mario Draghi indicated more stimulus in March.

source: www.abs-cbnnews.comindicated more stimulus in March.

source: www.abs-cbnnews.com