Showing posts with label John Williams. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Williams. Show all posts

Friday, July 19, 2019

Asia stocks firm as Fed props up rate cut expectations


TOKYO -- Asian stocks advanced on Friday after a top Federal Reserve official cemented expectations of a US interest rate cut later this month, fueling appetite for riskier assets and keeping a cap on the dollar.

New York Fed President John Williams said on Thursday that policymakers could not wait for economic disaster to hit before adding stimulus, in a speech read as a strong argument in favor of quick monetary action.

In oil markets, crude surged after the United States said its navy destroyed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz, a major chokepoint for global crude flows, raising concerns about supply disruptions out of the region.

The comments by Williams made it a virtual certainty the Fed would cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its July 30-31 policy meeting and also fueled expectations of an even deeper 50 basis point reduction.

Financial markets quickly reacted, with Fed fund rate futures at one point pricing in almost 70 percent chance of a 50 bp cut at the month-end meeting. The odds eased to around 40 percent after the New York Fed clarified that Williams' speech was not about immediate policy direction.

Wall Street shares shook off a sluggish start and moved higher overnight thanks to Williams' dovish comments.

The Shanghai Composite Index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng were both up 1 percent.

Australian stocks added 0.7 percent, South Korea's KOSPI rose 1 percent and Japan's Nikkei advanced 1.65 percent.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 1 percent, bouncing back from the previous day's losses.

Over the week, the index has climbed a modest 1 percent, as riskier assets were partly capped by US President Donald Trump's reiteration of his threat to impose further duties on Chinese imports. The two sides resumed talks recently to seek an end to a year-long trade war that has rattled financial markets and slowed global growth.

"Dovish Fed policy expectations do provide support for the equity markets, which are set to rebound after suffering losses the previous day," said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management. "But factors such as US-China trade issues and tensions over Iran are likely to limit the markets' gains."

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies stood little changed at 96.787 after losing roughly 0.5 percent overnight to a two-week low of 96.671 in the wake of comments from the Fed's Williams.

The greenback was up 0.2 percent at 107.520 yen, crawling away from a three-week trough of 107.210 on Thursday after the New York Fed's clarification of Williams' comments. The currency had previously lost 0.6 percent against its Japanese peer.

The euro was 0.1 percent lower at $1.1267 after climbing 0.45 percent the previous day.

US Treasury yields were lower across the board in light of Williams' dovish views. The 2-year yield was at 1.7826 percent after touching a two-week low of 1.7520 percent. The 10-year yield declined to a 10-day trough of 2.023 percent and was last at 2.0363 percent.

In commodities, US crude oil futures reversed a large part of the previous day's deep losses, rising 1.8 percent to $56.34 per barrel.

Crude rallied after the reports the US Navy had destroyed the Iranian drone, clawing back earlier losses during the week. Oil prices had fallen on Thursday amid expectations that crude output would rise in the Gulf of Mexico following last week's hurricane in the region.

Spot gold extended the previous day's rally made on the prospects of lower US interest rates and brushed a six-year high of $1,452.60 an ounce, before pulling back a touch to $1,443.36. Middle East tensions also helped boost safe-haven gold.

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Wall Street dips, Apple gain fails to offset rate worries


Wall Street ended lower on Monday as a bounce in Apple failed to offset concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve could raise interest rates sooner than later.

The timing of future Fed rate hikes in the face of a sluggish economy is a major focus among stock investors who have benefited from historically low borrowing costs since the 2008 financial crisis.

The Dow Jones industrial average and the Nasdaq Composite traded higher for much of the session but they made a pronounced dip in the final few minutes.

San Francisco Fed President John Williams and his St. Louis counterpart, James Bullard, both struck hawkish tones in separate appearances on Monday.

Last week, investors were surprised at central bank minutes that opened the door to a rate hike as soon as June. Investors will listen for fresh clues to the Fed's intentions when Chair Janet Yellen speaks on Friday.

"The market needs to be coddled and gently eased into a slightly higher interest-rate environment, and that appears to be what the Fed is doing," said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment officer of Solaris Group in Bedford Hills, New York.

"Rates need to normalize and the Fed needs to give itself room to lower again in the event of another financial crisis," Ghriskey said.

Apple rose 1.27 percent and the Philadelphia SE Semiconductors Index added 0.66 percent after Taiwan's Economic Daily News reported that Apple asked suppliers to build more of its next-generation iPhones than previously expected.

The Dow Jones industrial average declined 0.05 percent to end at 17,492.93 points and the S&P 500 lost 0.21 percent to 2,048.04.

The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.08 percent to 4,765.78.

Just 5.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, well below the 7.2 billion daily average for the past 20 trading days, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Eight of the 10 major S&P sectors ended lower, led down by a 0.97 percent dip in utilities.

The materials index rose 1.19 percent. It was boosted by Monsanto's 4.41-percent jump after the U.S. seeds company received a $62 billion takeover offer from German drugs and crop chemicals group Bayer.

The largest drag on the S&P 500 was Microsoft, down 1.17 percent.

Saturday was the one-year anniversary of the S&P 500's last record high close and the index is now down some 4 percent from that peak.

Tightening borrowing costs would help choke inflation but also hamper economic expansion and reduce liquidity in stock markets, which could impede stock gains.

The S&P 500 is trading at about 16.4 times expected earnings, down from about 17 at the start of May, according to Thomson Reuters Datastream.

Tribune Publishing fell 15.04 percent after it rejected Gannett's latest takeover offer. Gannett was down 2.36 percent.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by 1,521 to 1,479. On the Nasdaq, 1,489 issues rose and 1,329 fell.

The S&P 500 index showed six new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 27 new lows.

source: www.abs-cbnnews.com