Showing posts with label Davos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Davos. Show all posts

Friday, January 24, 2020

How tech taxes became world’s hottest economic debate


WASHINGTON — A growing movement by foreign governments to tax American tech giants that supply internet search, online shopping and social media to their citizens has quickly emerged as the largest global economic battle of 2020.

The fight pits traditional allies against each other, with European countries like France, Italy and Britain clashing with the US over their plans to impose new taxes on digital services provided by companies like Amazon and Google.

At the core of the debate are fundamental questions about where economic activity in the digital age is generated, where it should be taxed and who should collect that revenue. The potential for large tax dollars has spurred governments across the world to consider new digital taxes and has even inspired lawmakers in some American states, like Maryland and New York, to propose their own levies on digital trade.

This week, national leaders meeting in Davos, Switzerland, brokered a truce between the US and France, which had planned to move ahead with a digital services tax. Officials in both countries said they would pause what had been an escalating dispute in order to give international negotiators a chance to reach a global tax agreement that could halt a proliferation of digital taxes.

But the meetings, which took place at the World Economic Forum, have also brought new threats of taxation and tariff retaliation and underscored how fragile negotiations remain.

The stakes are high for governments and multinational corporations — even those outside the tech sector. The digital tax negotiations, which are being conducted through the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, have become entwined with efforts to reduce attempts by companies to avoid taxes by shifting profits overseas.

Late last year, negotiators at the OECD, including a delegation from the Trump administration, agreed to a first-step framework that would allow countries to tax certain digital-service providers even if they did not have physical presences inside their borders.

But Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin quickly surprised OECD officials with a letter requesting a change to the framework, one that would effectively allow some U.S. companies to opt out of those taxes. OECD officials pushed back, and negotiators are set to meet again next week in Paris.

The discussions, which are expected to last months, could end with an agreement on a global minimum tax that all multinational companies must pay on their profits, regardless of where the profits are booked. The negotiations could also set a worldwide standard for how much tax companies must remit to certain countries based on their digital activity.

Mnuchin expressed frustration Thursday in Davos that a digital sales tax had become such a focus of discussion at the World Economic Forum. Setting a minimum tax for companies around the world, to prevent them from hiding profits in tax havens, will make a much bigger difference, he said.

“From my perspective, that is by far the more important,” he said.

There is a chance the talks could devolve into a “Wild West” array of separate tax regimes on digital activity around the world.

“It’s a big old mess,” said Jennifer McCloskey, vice president for policy at the Information Technology Industry Council, a trade group that represents companies including Apple, Oracle and several other American tech leaders. “But,” she added, “that’s to be expected.”

Companies that operate across borders have long paid taxes where their profits are booked. Calculating that sounds simple enough, but it has grown increasingly complicated in recent decades. To reduce their tax bills, corporations have shifted profits — and in some cases their headquarters — on paper to low-tax countries like Bermuda and Ireland. OECD countries like the US have agreed to measures meant to discourage such shifting.

Such efforts did not resolve some countries’ complaints about Facebook, eBay and other companies that offer online services to their residents but have little or no physical presence within their borders. Those governments, along with leaders of the European Union, say large tech companies are avoiding paying their fair share of taxes.

“They’re looking for new ways to raise revenue,” said Nicole Kaeding, an economist and vice president of policy promotion at the National Taxpayers Union Foundation, which opposes the digital tax push by countries and states. “These are all wrapped up in the questions of how do we adjust a tax system that is a hundred years old in order to tax the digital economy?”

Kimberly Clausing, an economist at Reed College in Portland, Oregon, who specializes in international taxation and has pushed for additional measures to tax corporate profits around the world, said the digital tax effort exposed political and economic tensions in wealthy nations.

“It really lays bare this fiction that economic value is something we can assign to a location,” Clausing said. “As more and more of the value is intangible, it really creates this opportunity for profit-shifting.”

The proliferation of profitable digital services makes it “really the time” for the international community to revisit the rules of corporate taxation across borders, she said.

The feud between French and US officials has sped up the OECD process to rewrite those rules, which has a deadline for completion at the end of this year.

France announced plans last year to impose a 3 percent tax starting Jan. 1 on the revenues that companies earn from providing digital services to French users. The government estimated a windfall of 500 million euros (about $563 million). Similar taxes are under consideration in Britain, Italy, Canada and a host of other wealthy nations.

Those moves have drawn criticism, and tariff threats, from the Trump administration. President Donald Trump has insisted that only the US may tax American-based companies — even though American multinationals already pay taxes in other countries where they have factories or other physical operations. The president threatened to retaliate against France with US tariffs of up to 100 percent on French wine, cheese, handbags and other goods.

This week, Mnuchin also threatened tariffs against Italy and Britain if they impose similar taxes. British Chancellor Sajid Javid, who is also in Davos, said Britain would push ahead with the tax regardless.

Despite the acrimony, there are signs of progress. France’s finance minister, Bruno Le Maire, said Wednesday that the US and France had found a path forward in the OECD negotiations to set digital taxes.

The French agreed to suspend collections of their new digital tax, and the US agreed to hold off on tariffs, giving negotiators at the OECD time to strike their deal.

Le Maire made clear that the digital tax issue was far from resolved, and talks were expected to continue Thursday.

“We need to address fiscal evasion,” he said. “We have to address the fact that the biggest companies in the world are making huge profits in Europe and everywhere in the world without paying the due level of taxation because they do not have any physical presence — we have to address that question.”

Some observers are skeptical that the process can produce consensus — from some 130 countries — by year’s end.

“Some countries are going to have to give up taxing rights in order to allow other countries to have them. And the question is: Who?” said J. Clark Armitage, a former IRS official and the president of the tax firm Caplin & Drysdale in Washington. “It’s going to be hard to pass something that tracks what they propose.”

Negotiators face intense and competing pressures from large multinational companies. American tech firms are eager for a deal that would prevent multiple countries from imposing a wide variety of taxes on their activities.

“The worst case would be triple, quadruple taxation, because of how the individual taxes are not aligned,” said Jordan Haas, trade director for the Internet Association, another tech trade group in Washington.

Other companies, like consumer products giant Johnson & Johnson, have urged negotiators to go slow in considering the global minimum tax proposal that the OECD is discussing — and that French officials say must be included in any final agreement.

EU officials are already looking at reviving their own proposal to significantly revamp how the companies are taxed in the 28-nation bloc in the event that the OECD discussions fail. On Wednesday, an EU official said leaders were waiting to see whether Trump administration negotiators engaged more aggressively in the discussions and showed a willingness to work with Congress to carry out any consensus solution that emerged from the talks.

“We’re pleased” with the progress announced in Davos, the official said. “At the same time, we’re skeptical.”


2020 The New York Times Company

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Huawei boss says US may 'escalate,' stays confident on business


DAVOS, Switzerland -- The chief executive of Chinese telecoms giant Huawei on Tuesday said he was ready for the United States to escalate a "campaign" against the firm this year but insisted it would not have a significant effect on business.

The comments by Huawei chief executive and founder Ren Zhengfei to business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos come amid a bitter court fight in Canada over a US demand to extradite Huawei's chief financial officer Meng Wanzhou, who is his eldest daughter.

Huawei, the global leader in telecom networking equipment, has also been effectively banned by the United States from working with American firms on the grounds that it poses a national security threat -– an accusation the company has consistently denied.

"This year, the US might escalate their campaign against Huawei, but I think the impact on Huawei business will not be very significant," Ren told a session at Davos.

He said the company had invested intensely in protecting itself and was well-prepared this year.

"That's why we could withstand the first round of attack. In the year 2020, since we already have this experience from last year, we are more confidant that we can survive, even further attacks," he added.

USED TO BEING NUMBER ONE

Meng Wanzhou went to court on Monday to fight extradition to the United States, with her lawyers calling the accusations against her "fiction".

The US alleges Meng lied to HSBC Bank about Huawei's relationship with its Iran-based affiliate Skycom, putting the bank at risk of violating US sanctions against Tehran.

Meng has denied the allegations. She has been out on bail, living in one of her two Vancouver mansions for the past year.

Ren has previously suggested that the case was part of a US plot to crush Huawei, seeing it as a security risk.

Huawei said in December that "survival" was its top priority after announcing 2019 sales were expected to fall short of projections as a result of US sanctions.

Washington has banned US companies from selling equipment to Huawei, locking out the smartphone giant from access to Google's Android operating system.

"The United States… it is used to being the world number one and if someone is better than them, they might not feel comfortable," said Ren.

He said Huawei "used to be" an admirer of the United States and had notably been inspired by American management systems.

"From that perspective, the US should not be overly concerned about Huawei and Huawei's position in the world."

Agence France-Presse

Wednesday, January 23, 2019

John Kerry to Trump: 'Resign'


DAVOS, Switzerland - Former US secretary of state John Kerry said Tuesday he was not ruling out another tilt at the White House in 2020 but that in the here and now, Donald Trump should quit.

"I've told people I have not taken it off the table, but I'm not sitting around actively planning a (2020) campaign, or doing something, no," Kerry, 75, told CNBC television at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

Kerry was the Democrats' defeated candidate in 2004 and if he did pursue a long-shot bid again, he would join a growing field from his party. 

On Monday, Senator Kamala Harris entered the fray, bidding to become the first African-American woman to hold the presidency.

On current affairs, Kerry said the government shutdown in Washington -- triggered by President Trump's demands for a border wall -- was "utterly disgraceful" and "embarrassing for our country".

Trump was guilty of "lies", not least over the Paris climate accord, Kerry added during a discussion with UN oceans envoy Peter Thomson and Rebecca Shaw, chief scientist for environmental group WWF.

Asked what message he would give Trump were the president sitting opposite him, Kerry said to laughter: "Resign."

jit/jj

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Friday, January 26, 2018

Trump touts 'America First' to skeptical Davos elite


DAVOS - President Donald Trump strode into the lion's den to confront the world's political and business elite on Thursday, as his "America First" administration executes an anti-globalist manifesto in trade, taxes and currency rates.

A year after taking office, Trump joined the World Economic Forum in Davos with foreign exchange markets in turmoil and Washington's trading partners in uproar.

Vying to take the air out of one storm, he insisted that he wants to see "a strong dollar," after comments by his treasury secretary appearing to signal the opposite sent the US currency plunging to three-year lows and provoked anger in Europe.

Trump smiled and waved on his arrival at the gathering in the Swiss Alps, as crowds of onlookers held up camera phones. One woman admirer grabbed Trump's autograph while other delegates muttered -- out of his earshot -- about wanting to pelt him with fruit.

The former property mogul held one-on-one meetings with the British and Israeli prime ministers. Then, having demonized the globalist Davos crowd on his unorthodox march to the White House, he went on to a gala reception and dinner with European business chiefs attending the gathering.

Interviewed on CNBC, Trump said there was no contradiction between his populist campaign and his decision to come to the headquarters of the global elite.

"When I decided to come to Davos, I didn't think in terms of elitist or globalist, I thought in terms of lots people that want to invest lots of money and they're all coming back to the United States, they're coming back to America," he said.

Basking in near-daily highs on Wall Street and accelerating US growth, he added: "It's about coming to America, investing in money, creating jobs, companies coming in, we're setting records every week, every day, we're setting records."

ANTI-TRUMP MESSAGES


Seeking to demonize the president in turn was Swiss activist group Campax, which hung a giant banner on an Alpine peak near Davos reading "Trump not welcome", and Greenpeace, which beamed anti-Trump laser messages onto another mountain.

Trump is due to address the forum on its closing day Friday, at the end of a week that saw his administration announce a new package of trade tariffs targeting China and South Korea, and spark upheaval on the currency markets.

"I think the most fascinating thing with President Trump is that he has the capacity to surprise, and I'm sure we will be surprised tomorrow," Alexander Stubb, former prime minister of Finland and the new vice president of the European Investment Bank, told AFP in Davos.

FOREX ROWS 


Traders and US partners already had one surprise in Davos this week when Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin appeared to back away from decades of support by his predecessors for a "strong dollar" policy. He declared "a weaker dollar is good for us", flouting US commitments in international fora such as the G20.

International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde on Thursday urged Mnuchin to "clarify" his stance on the dollar. European Central Bank head Mario Draghi reminded trading partners to "refrain" from language that could cause currency volatility.

A weak dollar would potentially boost US exporters but cause headaches for all other trading nations.

In comments to CNBC that helped the dollar recover some lost ground, Trump said Mnuchin had been misquoted.

The Treasury secretary told reporters Thursday: "We are not concerned with where the dollar is in the short term, it is a very liquid market and we believe in free currencies."

But Mnuchin's apparently hands-off approach was taken as reinforcing a broad offensive in trade built on the "America First" platform,.

It drew the ire of French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire.

"We want exchange rates to reflect economic fundamentals... and we shouldn't play with these rates," Le Maire said in Davos.

Business leaders in Davos have this week offered a broad welcome to controversial tax reforms enacted by Trump's Republicans, which slashed the headline rate of US corporate tax. But European political leaders fear a "race to the bottom" as the United States jockeys for an edge among foreign investors.

NICE OR NASTY 

A year ago, the Davos spotlight was claimed by China's communist leader Xi Jinping, who took up the torch of global trade to the delight of the well-heeled audience then anxious about Trump's inauguration.

The Davos elite are keen now to see which version of Trump will speak on Friday -- the business-friendly tycoon or the leader who berated the rest of the world at the UN General Assembly last September.

"I think they've already built down their expectations so far that anything he may say that's conciliatory, they'll be grateful for," Robert Kaplan, senior fellow at Washington's Center for a New American Security, told AFP at the forum.

French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel "stole the show" at Davos already, Kaplan added, after the European leaders used separate speeches on Wednesday to push back hard against the Trump manifesto.

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Trudeau takes shot at Trump protectionism at Davos forum


DAVOS, Switzerland - Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau criticized the protectionist policies of US President Donald Trump at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Tuesday while fervently defending the virtues of free trade.

In a speech alluding to Trump and his threat to pull the United States out of the North American Free Trade Agreement, Trudeau said his administration was "working very hard to make sure that our neighbor to the south recognizes how good NAFTA is, and that (NAFTA) has benefited not just our economy, but his economy and the world's economy."

Earlier Canada agreed at talks in Tokyo to join 10 other countries in resurrecting the Trans Pacific Partnership, now called the CPTPP.

This came on the heels of a free trade deal with Europe and amid difficult negotiations with the United States and Mexico to revamp the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement.

"The agreement reached in Tokyo today is the right deal," Trudeau said, adding that the CPTPP deal marked "a great day for progressive trade around the world."

In addition to Canada, the CPTPP includes 10 countries: Australia, Brunei, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam.

Canada, which is the second-largest economy in the CPTPP, had walked away from a deal on the trade pact last November, holding out to maintain environmental and labor protections linked to freer markets.

A Canadian government official said "significant progress on the sticking points" had been made.

The agreement, said Trudeau, is now "more progressive and stronger for Canadian workers in the fields of intellectual property, culture and the auto industry".

At the same time, the prime minister raised concerns about a growing backlash against globalization.

"We're seeing a lot of trade skepticism around the world in general right now," he said.

"People are worried or become increasingly convinced that trade deals benefit the few, not the many, benefit a country's bottom line, benefit multinationals, but don't benefit ordinary workers."

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Thursday, January 18, 2018

Davos paper attacks Trump's views on trade


GENEVA—US President Donald Trump's view of world trade will be challenged next week when he visits the World Economic Forum (WEF) at Davos, judging by a paper seen by Reuters on Wednesday that is aimed squarely at his "America First" stance.

The "Strategic Brief on Misconceptions around Trade Balances" issued by the WEF's network of trade experts did not mention Trump by name. But it took issue with his administration's understanding of international commerce.

"A widely held view is that a country's trade balance is a key measure of its international commercial success," said co-authors Harvard professor Robert Lawrence and Princeton fellow Yeling Tan in the paper, which is due to be presented and debated at Davos.

"Currently, invoking this reasoning, the administration is seeking to reduce the trade deficit by renegotiating U.S. trade agreements and adopting more protectionist U.S. policies."

Trump has railed against the U.S. trade deficit with China, hobbled the World Trade Organization by blocking judicial appointments, pulled out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade talks and antagonized Canada and Mexico by demanding a revamp of the North American Free Trade Agreement.

The Davos paper said Trump's administration believed "unfair" trade had led to large trade deficits and job losses, but policies based on such thinking could end up harming the people they aimed to help.

The authors said similar narratives had also emerged in other countries and regions but did not name them.

They set out seven examples of sloppy thinking on trade, illustrated by graphs showing that the relationship between imports and U.S. domestic employment had been "overwhelmingly positive" and that larger U.S. trade deficits had been associated with faster jobs growth.

The first example was that "trade deficits are bad, trade surpluses are good". Both deficits and surpluses may be bad or good, and the trade balance was a function of national saving and investment, not trade policies.

Other examples were "imports are the cause of the decline in manufacturing jobs" and "trade agreements will increase the deficit".

Trump's Jan. 26 speech at Davos comes as his administration prepares for a penultimate round of NAFTA talks and as he considers imposing broad restrictions on steel and aluminum imports, a policy which is aimed at China but risks rebounding on the European Union.

It was wrong to think that imposing a tax on imports would create manufacturing jobs, the Davos paper said.

"New barriers to trade could disrupt production and reduce rather than increase domestic employment in both the protected industries and those that use their outputs." (Reporting by Tom Miles, editing by Larry King)

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Trump to bring 'America First' to World Economic Forum


WASHINGTON - Donald Trump will take his populist message directly to the world's political and business elite later this month, becoming the first US president to attend the World Economic Forum in Davos in nearly 20 years.

Trump -- who ran for president on a nationalist "America First" platform -- will mingle at the annual Alpine festival of globalism in Switzerland, and perhaps offer a few views of his own, the White House said.

"The president welcomes opportunities to advance his America First agenda with world leaders," White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders said.

"At this year's World Economic Forum, the president looks forward to promoting his policies to strengthen American businesses, American industries and American workers."

A string of US presidents have avoided attending the annual upscale event, fearing a sojourn to a European ski resort would make them look out of touch.

The last president to go was Bill Clinton, who attended in 2000.

The gathering might seem antithetical to Trump's brand of politics, but the White House insists his message will be the same surrounded by chalets as it would be in Washington.

LOOKING TO MAKE HIS MARK?  


Trump, a real estate mogul-turned-president, has rarely shied away from the rich and famous, but may have additional geopolitical incentive to attend.

Last year, the forum was dominated by the appearance of Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Xi became the first Chinese leader to go, picking up the mantle of defender of free trade and globalization in the face of Trump's protectionist rhetoric.

"No one will emerge as a winner in a trade war," Xi warned, fueling a sense of rapidly growing China stepping into a space vacated by the United States.

During a decades-long spending spree, China has bankrolled infrastructure projects from Sri Lanka to Zambia, often earning political influence in the process.

Last year, the Trump administration was represented by informal emissary Anthony Scaramucci, who challenged Beijing to match words and deeds.

Firms were also quick to point out the gap between Xi's rhetoric and the realities of doing business in China, which is a frequently tortuous affair.

'AMERICA FIRST'  
 

But it is unclear how Trump's pitch for "America First" trade will play among the disciples of a global rules-based order.

"The question appears to be whether he'll play to the global Davos audience or use his speech to shock the crowd with the anti-globalization rhetoric he loves to use back home," said Scott Mulhauser, former chief of staff at the US Embassy in Beijing.

"The two sides of Trump stand in particular contrast on trade and globalization and may even both appear in the same speech," added Mulhauser.

"So this one should be fascinating -- and the signals he sends will be heard at home and across the globe."

Since coming to office in January 2017, Trump has ripped up or sought to renegotiate a series of trade pacts that underpin global commerce.

A series of investigations into Chinese trade practices have put his administration on a collision course with Beijing.

This year's Davos gathering takes place January 23-26, with a theme of "Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World."

It is not yet clear when precisely Trump will attend.

source: news.abs-cbn.com

Saturday, January 23, 2016

French economy minister doubts China growth data


DAVOS - France's economy minister, Emmanuel Macron, said Friday he believes China's official figures overstate the true pace of its economic expansion, warning that the tough international climate will not help Europe.

The minister cast doubt on the reliability of China's figures, including its announcement this week that its economy grew by 6.9 percent in 2015, the slowest rate in a quarter century.

"I said a few months ago that I don't believe for a second the figures that are being given. I think those that are still being officially announced are probably well above the reality but we just have to live with it," Macron said at a gathering of the business and political elite in the Swiss ski resort of Davos.

Concerns that the slowdown in Chinese economic growth may be more brutal than Beijing admits have contributed to deep concern on world financial markets.

The global economic environment is unlikely to be helpful to the French or European economies, the minister said, underscoring the need to pursue economic reforms.

"What is really worrying is to see to what extent we have an economic and geopolitical environment that has become extremely volatile," Macron told reporters.

'RADICAL REFORM'

"Honestly, to be clear, we cannot expect any surprise events to boost French and European growth," he added.

"Truly, if we should focus on something this year it is to reform our economy as radically as possible," said the minister, who is fighting to push through economic reforms including making it easier for shops to open on Sundays.

Besides the slowdown in growth in China, the world's second largest economy after the United States, slumping oil prices were also destabilising petroleum-exporting countries, he said.

Adding to global uncertainties were the problems facing emerging economies, financial market volatility, conflict in the Middle East, the refugee crisis and jihadist terror attacks in Europe, he said.

The Europe Union's internal tensions compounded the difficulties, he said.

"We have the risks of fragmentation, the divergence of our economies, of our political choices, of our collective preferences," he said, evoking notably terrorism and European nations' response to the huge flow of refugees from fighting in the Middle East.

France emerged from three years of economic stagnation last year with growth of more than 1.0 percent, but 650,000 people have been added to the jobless total since Francois Hollande became president in 2012.

Hollande pledged Monday to spend more than 2.0 billion euros ($2.2 billion) on tackling France's "state of economic emergency".

Joblessness, which stands at around 10 percent or 3.57 million people in the eurozone's second-largest economy, was the "only issue that ranks above security for the French people", the president said.

source: www.abs-cbnnews.com

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Here come the robots: Davos bosses brace for big tech shocks


DAVOS, SWITZERLAND - Implantable mobile phones. 3D-printed organs for transplant. Clothes and reading-glasses connected to the Internet.

Such things may be science fiction today but they will be scientific fact by 2025 as the world enters an era of advanced robotics, artificial intelligence and gene editing, according to executives surveyed by the World Economic Forum (WEF).

Nearly half of those questioned also expect an artificial intelligence machine to be sitting on a corporate board of directors within the next decade.

Welcome to the next industrial revolution.

After steam, mass production and information technology, the so-called "fourth industrial revolution" will bring ever faster cycles of innovation, posing huge challenges to companies, workers, governments and societies alike.

The promise is cheaper goods and services, driving a new wave of economic growth. The threat is mass unemployment and a further breakdown of already strained trust between corporations and populations.

"There is an economic surplus that is going to be created as a result of this fourth industrial revolution," Satya Nadella, chief executive of Microsoft, told the WEF's annual meeting in Davos on Wednesday.

"The question is how evenly will it be spread between countries, between people in different economic strata and also different parts of the economy."

Robots are already on the march, moving from factories into homes, hospitals, shops, restaurants and even war zones, while advances in areas like artificial neural networks are starting to blur the barriers between man and machine.

One of the most in-demand participants in Davos this year is not a central banker, CEO or politician but a prize-winning South Korean robot called HUBO, which is strutting its stuff amid a crowd of smartphone-clicking delegates.

But there are deep worries, as well as awe, at what technology can do.

A new report from UBS released in Davos predicts that extreme levels of automation and connectivity will worsen already deepening inequalities by widening the wealth gap between developed and developing economies.

“The fourth industrial revolution has potentially inverted the competitive advantage that emerging markets have had in the form of low-cost labor,” said Lutfey Siddiqi, global head of emerging markets for FX, rates and credit at UBS.

“It is likely, I would think, that it will exacerbate inequality if policy measures are not taken.”

An analysis of major economies by the Swiss bank concludes that Switzerland is the country best-placed to adapt to the new robot world, while Argentina ranks bottom.

WINNERS AND LOSERS

There will be winners and losers among companies, too, as new players move into established industries with disruptive new technologies.

That is something uppermost in the minds of Davos attendees such as General Motors CEO Mary Barra, who is confronting the threat of driverless cars - another science fiction that has become science fact - or bank boss Jamie Dimon at JPMorgan Chase, facing competition from digital "fintech" start-ups.

Such innovations, coupled with the rise of robots in both the manufacturing and service sectors, could automate vast numbers of jobs. Oxford University researchers predicted in 2013, for example, that 47 percent of U.S. jobs were at risk.

Such fears about technology destroying jobs are not new. The economist John Maynard Keynes famously cried wolf in 1931, by issuing a warning of widespread "technological unemployment".

The question is whether this time will be different, given the speed to change and the fact that machines now offer brain as well as brawn, threatening professions previously seen as immune, such as entry-level journalism or routine financial analysis.

Pessimists fear this will hollow out middle-income, middle-class jobs on an unprecedented scale, with the WEF itself predicting that more than 5 million jobs could be lost in 15 major economies by 2020.

But ManpowerGroup CEO Jonas Prising is more upbeat for the long term. "If history is any indicator, we'll have more jobs being created in the end than are going to be destroyed," he said.

However, beyond the Davos talking-shop there are doubts about how well business leaders will actually plan for the future.

"When you have these very big levels of disruptive change you need some pretty serious thinking and action," said Ian Goldin, professor of globalization and development at Oxford University.

"But the CEO who really looks years ahead and looks at broader social issues is rare, even in Davos."

source: www.abs-cbnnews.com